In the past two days, the so-called "herd immunity" policy issued by the British Prime Minister has aroused fierce debate. Later, there was news: According to the British Sky News, the British Health Secretary said: "Herd immunity is not our goal or policy - it is a scientific concept. Our policy is to protect lives and defeat this virus."
Regarding the current international response strategies and possible premature impacts, it is recommended to refer to the objective and rational analysis in the "Huashan Infection" public account, and our experience in the nationwide fight against the epidemic in China can provide them with some support. For example, our network tracking system, such as the identification system similar to "Sui Shen Code". These should quickly help them identify sick and potential patients. Adopt "early detection, early isolation".
This involves some ethical issues, such as whether "natural selection, survival of the fittest" can be applied to the current epidemic fight. For example, whether to provide free testing to all citizens who need it (discussion in the United States). For example, how to allocate medical resources when resources are limited. Should society establish an effective protective guarantee network? In response to these problems, Marx once said a famous saying: "The free development of each person is the condition for the free development of all people." (Communist Manifesto). Sen's "Viewing Development with Freedom" also mentioned the concept of "feasible capabilities". And taking the expansion of "freedom of feasible capabilities" as the goal of social development, on this basis, the development indicator "Human Development Index" was proposed to replace pure economic indicators. The five types of instrumental freedoms mentioned by Sen: political freedom, economic conditions, social opportunities, transparency guarantees, and protective guarantees are an organism that together ensure the expansion of social feasibility. I won’t go into details here. Interested friends can take a look at Sen’s “Viewing Development with Freedom.”
The top priority is to develop a vaccine against coronavirus as soon as possible. It would be best to develop it before next winter.
Our society also needs to establish a kind of herd immunity, which is immunity to lies. The "satellite release" in 1958 caused the tragedy of the Great Famine in the following years. We should not forget. (If you don’t understand, you can search Yang Jisheng’s articles online).
We personally just need to read more and think more to develop the ability to detect lies. thereby forming immunity.
At the same time, exercising more can also contribute to the fight against the epidemic. Strive to be able to become the guardian of herd immunity. We look forward to seeing more martial arts gyms, gyms, basketball courts and other sports venues in the country after spring comes.
If we can’t end the war in as short a time as China did (two months coincides with the Spring Festival, creating the best opportunity for a reasonable social shutdown). The British government is well aware of the cost of social shutdown, so proposing a "herd immunity" strategy is at least a theory. The UK's strategy is based on the fact that most people are asymptomatic or have only mild symptoms after being latently infected with the virus, thereby achieving general immunity in the population. However, this strategy is risky for individuals. Some mild patients will suddenly progress to a critical state without warning, and it is extremely difficult to treat critical patients. In reality, from the early experience in Wuhan and the current epidemic development in Italy and Iran, we know that the biggest risk is an uncontrolled epidemic. Once it spreads rapidly and the number of severely ill patients increases, if hospitals do not respond adequately, it may lead to a run on medical resources. But if it is well controlled, it can be smoothly transitioned to normalized critical care management. Germany is a successful example.
The strategy of herd immunity is actually not only a scientific issue, it may involve some human and ethical issues, and may also have huge hidden dangers. With the development of scientific and technological civilization in modern society, we hope that more people can obtain the right to a better survival, instead of facing the "survival of the fittest" by the laws of nature with the weak strength of individuals. When we are faced with an infectious disease that has a certain proportion of deaths, and it is possible to achieve scientific prevention and control, there may be ethical risks in choosing the seemingly fair strategy of herd immunity.
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是否可以用π和e等一些数字和碱基做配对，折叠，计算，看看是否有一些有意思的发现？有些蛋白质的密码是否就藏在这里面？ (Am I promoting the science of Wild Fox Zen?)
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UK Health Secretary: 'Herd immunity' is not our goal or policy
https://news.ifeng.com/c/7urcFnDjXA8
Machine-translated from the Chinese original 群体免疫和以自由看待发展 (published 2020-03-15). WeChat original ↗